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Play is due to start at 1800 BST (TMS coverage begins at 1745)
1738: Right, I promised you the permutations. It’s simplest for India – anything less than a win and they’re eliminated. Even if they win, they then need Australia to beat the West Indies – and also hope they have the best net run-rate between themselves, Sri Lanka and West Indies.
If Sri Lanka win (or if this match finishes a tie or no result), then they will go through if Australia win the late game or if that finishes a tie or no result. A Sri Lanka win coupled with a Windies win would see the top two from Australia, Sri Lanka and West Indies on net run-rate go through. But Sri Lanka also have a very faint hope of qualifying even if they lose and Australia win – although they would need a better net run-rate than India and West Indies. Confused? You will be…
1733: Here’s the toss – India’s Mahendra Dhoni has called correctly – and opts to bat first. They make three changes – Murali Vijay, Ravindra Jadeja and Zaheer Khan are replaced by Dinesh Karthik, Piyush Chawla and Vinay Kumar. Sri Lanka also make three changes – leaving out Dinesh Chandimal, Chanaka Welegedara and most surprisingly Ajantha Mendia in favour of Thissara Perera, Chinthaka Jayasinghe and Thilan Thushara.
1725: Afternoon, everyone – or should it be evening? Over on the lush, verdant island of St Lucia, it’s about 25 minutes past high noon for the four teams battling to grab the last two semi-final places in the ICC World Twenty20 – first up we’ve got Sri Lanka v India at 1800 BST, followed by West Indies v Australia under the lights at 2200 BST. I’ll go through the permutations in a minute about who has to do what to qualify.
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