Cameron and Karzai downplay leaks

British soldiers in AfghanistanThe prime minister voiced his optimism over the withdrawal of British forces from Afghanistan
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David Cameron has said British troops could start coming home from Afghanistan as early as next year.

The prime minister was speaking as he visited the country to assess for himself the situation on the ground.

He said progress against the Taliban and in training Afghan military and police made him optimistic about the prospects for British troop withdrawal.

Last month, Mr Cameron made a commitment to MPs to withdraw British combat troops from Afghanistan by 2015.

BBC deputy political editor James Landale, who is travelling with Mr Cameron, said it was almost a tradition now for prime ministers to visit Afghanistan before Christmas.

Mr Cameron went to Afghanistan, like his predecessors, to thank British forces for what they are doing in the country.

He did this with some in person at an isolated patrol base and with others by a round-robin Army fax.

“We have to deliver on the ground what’s necessary, but what I’ve seen today gives me cause for cautious optimism”

David Cameron

Mr Cameron stayed overnight at the main British base, Camp Bastion, and promised the troops there more unmanned drones and Warthog armoured vehicles to take the fight to the Taliban.

After a day of visits and meetings, Mr Cameron said he was cautiously optimistic about the progress in denying the Taliban territory and in training Afghan police and troops.

Our correspondent said Mr Cameron was so confident that he said it was now possible some British combat troops could start returning to the UK next year.

Not everyone in the Army was keen on the idea but the prime minister has a firm commitment to get all combat troops out of Afghanistan by 2015 and wanted to make a start, our correspondent added.

Mr Cameron said: “We have to deliver on the ground what’s necessary, but what I’ve seen today gives me cause for cautious optimism.

“We are ahead of schedule on training up the Afghan National Army, I’ve just been to see Afghan police officers being trained up – 500 every eight weeks coming out of an academy run by the British. There are signs for optimism.”

The prime minister has told MPs that the country needed to know “there is an end point to all of this”.

The UK has more than 10,000 troops deployed in Afghanistan.

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MPs to debate EU referendum plans

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MPs are to vote on government plans to ensure “significant” European Union treaties must be approved by a referendum of UK voters.

This would also apply to major changes made to existing treaties.

But ministers can rule out a referendum when they judge that the transfer of power to Brussels is “not significant”, which worries eurosceptics.

MPs will be able to raise concerns when the European Union Bill has its second reading in the Commons later.

The government says it has no plans to transfer sovereignty or powers to the EU in this parliament, as part of the coalition agreement between the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats.

Foreign Secretary William Hague told the BBC: “It’s a bill I’ve long wanted to present to Parliament, which says that if this government or any future government transfers new areas of power, or more competence to the European Union from the UK, then the people of the country must be consulted in a referendum by law.

“That of course is what I thought should have happened over the Lisbon Treaty during the Labour government, but this is putting it right for the future and saying the British people must be asked if their own rights or powers are being given away.”

But Labour have dismissed the legislation as a “sop” to Conservative eurosceptics, rather than a serious policy.

The cross-party European Scrutiny Committee has published a report attacking the government for not allowing it sufficient time to scrutinise the bill.

Its chairman, Conservative MP Bill Cash, said: “The European Union Bill is in its implications, and given the profound effect that the European Union has on the daily lives of the voters and the people of the United Kingdom in virtually ever sphere of activity, of immense importance and in many respects on a par with the original European Communities Act 1972.”

He added it was “essential that it is made clear that Parliament is the ultimate authority” in defining “the United Kingdom’s relationship to the EU”.

The bill did not address the “vital constitutional issue of the competing primacies of EU and national law”, the committee said, while the coalition had “purported” to include a “sovereignty clause”.

Under the legislation, ministers will be able simply to state whether the transfer of power from the UK to the EU is, or is not, significant enough to merit a referendum.

If they say a public vote is not needed, they will be able to make the change if they manage to pass an Act of Parliament to that effect.

The minister’s ruling could be challenged in the courts.

Broader changes to the UK’s relationship with the EU will have to be put to a national referendum.

Eurosceptics argue that the measures outlined do not go as far as the “referendum lock” outlined in the coalition agreement, which was to apply to any future transfers of power.

The government has already made clear there will not be a referendum on treaty changes suggested by the German Chancellor Angela Merkel, to establish a permanent mechanism to protect the euro, because the UK says that would only affect countries which use the single currency.

That will, instead, be subject to an Act of Parliament.

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Tests show pupils falling behind

Students in classroomPisa is an international standardised assessment for 15-year-olds
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Test results comparing Welsh pupils with the rest of the world are expected to be a “disaster”.

BBC Wales understands the assembly government is preparing for another poor performance in the Pisa assessments.

They test up to 10,000 15-year-olds in each of 65 countries in reading, maths, science and problem solving.

The assembly government would not comment until the results are formally released.

But sources close to the assembly government say the publication of the results on Tuesday will be a “reality check”.

The Programme for International Student Assessment (Pisa) performance tables are carried out every three years and grade teenagers against their peers in other countries.

“”The results must be put in the context of the funding gap between Wales and England”

Rex Phillips NASUWT Cymru

In the last set of results conducted in 2006 and published in 2007, Wales performed the worst of the UK nations.

Although Welsh students performed well on science, the report revealed below-average performances in reading and maths, comparable to eastern European countries such as Croatia and Azerbaijan.

The BBC has been told that assembly government officials are working on the assumption the results will be a “disaster”.

Wales will be under scrutiny to close the gap with the rest of the UK after last time.

After the last set of results the assembly government’s aim would have been to close the gap on Scotland, Northern Ireland and England.

Rex Phillips, Wales organiser of the NASUWT, said the results should not be used as a “stick to beat teachers with”.

He added: “The (education) minister should avoid knee-jerk reactions and work with the teaching profession, not against it.

“The results must be put in the context of the funding gap between Wales and England.”

A Welsh Assembly Government spokesman said they would not be commenting until the confidential results are released.

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UK schools fall in global ranking

Parents in South KoreaParents in South Korea pray for their children’s success in school exams
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Secondary school pupils in the UK are falling behind international competitors, according to a major survey from the OECD.

Pupils have slipped down the global league table in reading, maths and science, based on two-hour tests taken in 65 school systems around the world.

Finland and South Korea, as last time, achieved the best results

Education Secretary Michael Gove said the survey showed the “urgent need to reform our school system”.

Within the UK, Wales performed significantly less well than England, Scotland and Northern Ireland in all three subjects.

The latest findings of the PISA survey – the Programme for International Student Assessment – show the UK tumbling down the rankings, according to the results of tests taken last year by an international sample of 15-year-olds.

table

The survey by the OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) is designed to compare standards within different education systems around the world.

In 2000, when 32 countries took part in the survey, the UK came 7th in reading skills – but the figures for 2009 show that out of 65 countries, the UK has fallen to 25th place.

Countries such as Poland, Estonia, Canada, Norway and Singapore are above the UK in reading ability, in a table headed by South Korea and Finland.

The study also includes regions within countries – and the Chinese school systems in Shanghai and Hong Kong are among the most successful.

If Shanghai had been a country, it would have been the single most successful in this global survey.

A quarter of pupils in Shanghai were able to tackle complex maths problems, compared with an average of 3% across the OECD survey.

In maths, between 2000 and 2009 the UK has fallen from 8th to 28th and in science from 4th to 16th.

The results for the UK’s teenagers have not declined significantly across these years, says the OECD – it is more the case that they have failed to keep up with the improvements of pupils in other countries.

“The UK’s performance is about average,” says the OECD’s Michael Davidson. “The question is whether the UK thinks that ‘average’ is good enough?”

TOP 10 EDUCATION SYSTEMS BY READING SKILLS

South Korea school

Shanghai (China)South KoreaFinlandHong Kong (China)SingaporeCanadaNew ZealandJapanAustraliaNetherlands

Source: OECD

Mr Gove said the rankings showed that the previous government had not achieved value for money from its investment in education.

“I’m also daunted by the scale of the challenge, because other countries have been improving rapidly and despite massive investment over the last 13 years we haven’t been improving at the rate we should have been,” said Mr Gove.

The education secretary said that his forthcoming school reforms for England were being influenced by the lessons of successful school systems in other countries.

He said the survey showed the benefits of school autonomy, parental choice, transparency of performance and investing in supporting disadvantaged pupils.

Shadow education secretary Andy Burnham said: “Schools improved under Labour, and more students now leave with good results. People forget how bad things were: in 1997, half of all schools failed to reach the basic benchmark of 30% of students getting 5 GCSEs graded A*-C, including English and maths – that number is now fewer than one in 12.”

The 2009 tests also showed that boys continued to achieve lower results than girls, with boys trailing girls in reading in every country – on average falling a whole year behind.

The survey highlighted factors that were seen as characteristics of successful systems.

It found that the “best school systems were the most equitable”, in which pupils could succeed academically despite a disadvantaged background.

It also pointed to the importance of good discipline and high status for teachers.

The PISA survey is held every three years, with the results published the year after the tests are taken. In the 2009 survey, about half a million youngsters took the tests, which are designed to provide an objective measure of their ability in these three key areas.

The UK did not take part in all the previous surveys, so there are not continuous figures from 2000 through to the latest published results.

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Police urge drivers not to travel

School signLess than half all Scotland’s schools opened last week
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About 90% of Scotland’s schools are hoping to reopen after being closed for a week due to snow.

A relatively dry weekend allowed local authorities to clear roads, though travel disruption was still expected.

Heavy snow is falling in Dundee, Perth, Stirling, Falkirk and parts of Fife.

There are blizzard conditions on the A9 between Perth and Dunblane. The road is down to one lane in places. The M80 is also badly affected through Stirling.

The M90 between Perth and Fife has a covering of snow and traffic is moving very slowly.

Scotrail are now running trains between Aberdeen and Inverness, and from Glasgow and Edinburgh to Aberdeen and Inverness.

Buses are replacing trains between Dundee and Edinburgh and Perth and Edinburgh.

There are no trains between Glasgow and Dunblane or on the far north line.

Edinburgh to Glasgow Queen Street services are reduced to half hourly.

Inverness and Wick airports are closed.

Grampian Police said drifting snow was affecting roads between Fochabers and Elgin; Inverurie and Huntly; Huntly and Banff; and MacDuff to New Pitsligo. Some higher routes were closed.

Aberdeen and Aberdeenshire councils said school transport would been affected, with some routes cancelled and others changed.

Education Secretary Michael Russell said: “We have experienced the worst snowfall at this time of year since 1965.

“Despite the best efforts of local authorities and school staff, road closures and hazardous conditions made school closures unavoidable in many parts of the country.”

At the height of last week’s disruption less than half of Scotland’s schools opened.

Mr Russell added: “We do not expect any blanket school closures and many local authorities which experienced significant disruption last week are hoping to open most, if not all, schools in their area.”

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Transport Minister Stewart Stevenson said transport staff across the country were working round the clock to keep networks open.

“I am pleased our national roads network is almost entirely reopen again,” he said.

“We have adequate salt supplies to see us through further bad weather, currently four times more than at the worst time in the winter last year and more deliveries due in the next few weeks.

“We also have a contingency supply ready for use in an emergency.”

While schools are set to reopen and transport links have been restored, forecasters are warning of more bad weather to come.

Forecasters warned that the wintry weather would push into Dumfries and Galloway and the Borders during Monday afternoon.

During Monday night, wintry showers will become confined to the Northern Isles, Northwest Highlands and Galloway.

Elsewhere, it will be dry, clear and very cold with a widespread frost, severe in places.

There will be a risk of icy roads once again, and patches of freezing fog, as temperatures dip to -6C in the towns and cities, and as low as -15C in the Central Highlands.

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The sound of art: Philipsz wins Turner Prize

Susan PhilipszSusan Philipsz is favourite to win the prize for her sound installation, Lowlands

The recipient of this year’s Turner art prize will be unveiled at Tate Britain in central London later.

Glasgow-born Susan Philipsz is the bookies’ favourite to win for a sound installation that features her singing three versions of a Scottish lament over public address systems.

Dexter Dalwood, Angela de la Cruz and The Otolith Group are also in the running for the prestigious award.

The winner will take home £25,000 in prize money.

Each shortlisted artist automatically receives £5,000.

This year marks the first time a sound installation has been shortlisted for the prize, open to British artists or those who live and work in Britain.

Philipsz recorded three versions of Lowlands Away – a song about a man drowned at sea who returns to tell his lover of his death – for her work, entitled Lowlands.

Curator Katherine Stout said it was a “very physical” work that “plays upon the otherwise emptiness” of Tate Britain.

Dalwood’s works feature paintings that tackle well-known moments from recent history, among them the death of Iraq weapons expert Dr David Kelly.

Video artists The Otolith Group – Anjalika Sagar and Kodwo Eshun – revive forgotten works of the past using archive material.

De la Cruz, meanwhile, rips and folds her paintings in on themselves before displaying them in doorways, corners or on gallery floors.

The Turner Prize is awarded yearly to a living artist under 50 for putting on an outstanding exhibition in the previous year.

Painter Richard Wright won last year’s prize for his large-scale gold leaf frescos.

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Wikileaks reveals US Baltic plan

US soldiers with Patriot missile battery at army base in northern Polish town of Morag, May 2010Nato strategy to defend Poland against Russia was to be expanded, the cables reveal

The US and Nato have drawn up plans to defend the Baltic nations against Russia, latest US diplomatic cables disclosed by Wikileaks show.

The cables, published in the Guardian, reveal plans to expand an existing strategy to defend Poland to include Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania.

Wikileaks is releasing hundreds of diplomatic cables, angering the US.

Meanwhile, a warrant for the arrest of Wikileaks founder Julian Assange has reached UK authorities.

Mr Assange, who is believed to be in hiding somewhere in England, is preparing to talk to British police, his lawyer said.

Mr Assange is wanted for questioning in Sweden in connection with rape allegations which he denies.

The Swiss post office’s bank, PostFinance, has also frozen his accounts.

The latest leaked documents show that in January this year, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton apparently signed a confidential cable saying allies in Nato had agreed to expand the contingency plan to defend Poland, to include the Baltic states.

The nine Nato divisions involved would be American, British, German and Polish, the Guardian says, citing information leaked to Polish newspaper Gazeta Wyborcza.

The cables say the military plans should not be discussed publicly as it might lead to an unnecessary increase in Nato-Russia tensions.

BBC World Affairs correspondent Peter Biles says the documents should be seen against the background of Washington’s efforts to “reset” its relations with Russia and improve co-operation.

Analysis

While the US and some of its Nato allies are eager to take on wider challenges and a more global role, a number of Nato’s central European members are more concerned about the potential threat from an old enemy – Russia.

The small Baltic states in particular have long argued to be included in Nato’s contingency planning to meet any resurgent Russian threat.

A cable from January confirms that “Eagle Guardian” – the code-name for plans for the reinforcement and defence of Poland – are to be expanded to encompass Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia.

But this and a related cable make it clear that Washington wanted no public discussion of this decision, largely it seems for fear of upsetting Moscow at a time when its support was needed on crucial diplomatic issues like Iran.

One secret cable from the US mission to Nato in Brussels revealed that US Admiral James Stavridis, the alliance’s top commander in Europe, had proposed in January expanding Nato’s contingency plans for defending Poland – known as Eagle Guardian – to include Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia.

The cable adds: “The expansion was formally submitted to Allies for decision under a silence procedure.”

Another cable, signed by Mrs Clinton, instructs US embassies how to deal with the new Nato plan for the Baltic states, and stresses that the project must be kept secret.

“We see the expansion of Eagle Guardian as a step toward the possible expansion of Nato’s other existing country-specific contingency plans into regional plans,” it says.

Analysts say other cables show a degree of frustration between Warsaw and Washington over plans to deploy Patriot air defence missiles to Poland.

This had been the key price for a Polish decision to back the Bush administration’s wider missile defence plans.

But rather than getting operational systems with their full crews, the Poles received only launchers minus their missiles and a token number of US troops.

Other Main Leaks So FarFears that terrorists may acquire Pakistani nuclear materialSeveral Arab leaders urged attack on Iran over nuclear issueUS instructs spying on key UN officialsChina’s changing ties with North KoreaYemen approved US strikes on militantsPersonal and embarrassing comments on world leadersAfghan leader Hamid Karzai freed dangerous detaineesRussia is a “virtual mafia state” with widespread corruption and briberyAfghan President Hamid Karzai is “paranoid and weak”. Extent of corruption in AfghanistanChinese leadership ‘hacked Google’A list of key global facilities the US says are vital to its national securityWikileaks cables: Key issues What does Wikileaks list tell us?

One senior Polish official is quoted in a cable from February 2009 as telling the Americans that his country expected to get operational missiles and not what he called “potted plants”.

Sources have told the BBC that the European Arrest Warrant for Mr Assange arrived on Monday afternoon.

Mr Assange’s UK lawyer, Mark Stephens, told the BBC: “We are in the process of making arrangements to meet with the police by consent in order to facilitate the taking of the question and answer that is needed.”

Sweden first issued an arrest warrant for Mr Assange on 18 November but it was invalidated by a procedural error. A new warrant was issued on 2 December.

PostFinance, in a statement on its website, said Mr Assange had “provided false information regarding his place of residence” during the account opening process.

“(Mr) Assange entered Geneva as his domicile. Upon inspection, this information was found to be incorrect.

“(Mr) Assange cannot provide proof of residence in Switzerland and thus does not meet the criteria for a customer relationship with PostFinance. For this reason, PostFinance is entitled to close his account.”

Wikileaks says it and Mr Assange have lost 100,000 euros in assets in a week.

In one of its most controversial leaks so far, Wikileaks released on Monday a US State Department cable from February 2009 asking its officials around the world to update a list of key sites, the loss of which “could critically impact” the US.

The list includes undersea cables, key communications, ports, mineral resources and firms of strategic importance in countries all over the world.

Former UK Foreign Secretary Sir Malcolm Rifkind described Wikileaks’ actions as “verging on the criminal”.

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