Irish challenger has ‘no support’

Irish Foreign Minister Micheal Martin (16 Jan 2011)Micheal Martin said the survival of ruling party Fianna Fail was at stake
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The Irish government’s chief whip says the foreign minister’s decision to vote against PM Brian Cowen in a confidence vote is not backed by colleagues.

“I haven’t heard of any other minister backing [Foreign Minister] Micheal Martin at this time,” John Curran has told Irish broadcaster RTE.

Mr Martin has said that a new leader is necessary before a general election.

Brian Cowen has decided not to step down but has offered colleagues a secret confidence ballot on Tuesday.

The taoiseach, who is also facing an opposition motion of no confidence in parliament, has come under pressure because of revelations of a 2008 meeting with the head of Anglo Irish Bank shortly before he announced a multi-billion euro bank guarantee.

Former Anglo Irish chairman Sean FitzPatrick is still subject to official scrutiny over his role in the bank’s collapse and has previously been questioned by police.

Mr Cowen, who came to power in 2008, has denied discussing bank matters at the golf course, insisting he had not done political favours for any financial institution.

His position has come under political pressure since the Irish Republic was forced to seek a bail-out by the EU and IMF late last year.

Analysis

Mark Simpson, BBC News, Dublin

There are three reasons why supporters of Irish Prime Minister Brian Cowen are convinced he will win Tuesday’s confidence vote.

Firstly, they say that Mr Cowen’s main rival – Foreign Minister Micheal Martin – looks weak after offering to resign but not actually quitting.

Secondly, no other senior member of the Irish cabinet has joined Mr Martin in the ranks of the rebels.

Thirdly, Mr Cowen has spoken directly to all of his parliamentary colleagues and been assured by the vast majority of their support.

The only danger for the taoiseach is the fact that Tuesday’s confidence vote is private. It is not just a show of hands. Those voting against Mr Cowen will not have to look him in the eye as they do so.

Mr Martin is hoping that the secret ballot will be his secret weapon.

A general election is expected in March and Micheal Martin, a potential rival to succeed Mr Cowen as leader of the Fianna Fail party, said on Sunday that he had “reluctantly concluded” that a new leader was necessary as the party’s “very survival” was at stake.

Mr Martin told a news conference that he had offered to stand down as foreign minister but Mr Cowen had told him that was unnecessary.

The prime minister said on Sunday that while Fianna Fail was important, the interests of the country were “paramount”.

“As taoiseach my total focus must remain with discharging my duties to the people,” he said.

The normal party procedure for removing the leader begins when a quarter of all party MPs sign a notion of no-confidence.

Mr Cowen said he wanted to dispense with those procedures to hold the secret vote of confidence on Tuesday.

Although Fianna Fail MP Noel O’Flynn has called for the party to unite behind Mr Martin, Deputy Prime Minister Mary Coughlan has said she believes in Mr Cowen’s leadership.

The chief whip said he believed Mr Cowen would win Tuesday’s vote.

“It’s a question that the members of the parliamentary party believe that he is the best person to lead this country over the next number of weeks into the general election and he is the best person to lead Fianna Fail into the general election,” Mr Curran said.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Organised child abuse ‘growing’

Girl - genericBarnardo’s Cymru says a ‘sophisticated grooming process’ is used on vulnerable youngsters in Wales
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Children trafficked in Wales are being moved around the country and across the UK, says children’s charity Barnardo’s.

They are moved along the M4 corridor in south Wales and the A55 in north Wales to places including London, Bristol, Birmingham and Liverpool, it says.

Meanwhile, an AM says nearly 30 children in Wales’ social services system have been identified as victims of organised child sexual abuse.

Funding for a post to track the issue in Wales has been approved.

Barnado’s says children as young as 10 are being trafficked in the UK

The charity says it is working with more than 1,000 abused children who are moved around British towns and cities.

Dr Sam Clutton, lead policy officer for child sexual exploitation at Barnardo’s Cymru, said a “sophisticated grooming process” saw young people being tricked by abusers.

“We need everybody to be aware of this issue, to be alert to it, so we can start noticing things earlier”

Dr Sam Clutton Barnardo’s Cymru

She told BBC Radio Wales: “We know that this is becoming more organised and more tied into organised crime.

“We are basically talking about children being tricked and duped into going, initially maybe, to a party as part of the grooming process and… just being transported to being sold for sex by adults.”

She said the charity had trained 3,000 professionals on the issue in Wales in the past five years, with Gwent Police becoming a “pocket of good practice”.

She said: “We have come a long way in the last five years in Wales from a point where we didn’t acknowledge that child sexual exploitation was a Welsh issue but we have still got a long way to go.

“We need everybody to be aware of this issue, to be alert to it, so we can start noticing things earlier and start assisting these very vulnerable children and young people.”

“Certainly the latest evidence we’ve got in Wales [is] we’re looking at an average age 14 for girls and a little bit older for boys in relation to this issue.”

Across the UK, Barnardo’s is calling for a minister to be appointed to ensure the issue of children being sexually exploited and trafficked into the sex industry is addressed.

In Wales, the charity says the issue is progressing along different lines. It has welcomed new guidance to key practitioners in Wales such as teachers, health professionals, social workers, the police, to tackle sexual exploitation.

Deputy Social Services Minister Gwenda Thomas has commissioned a review within six months of the guidance being published to examine how it is being applied by Local Safeguarding Children Boards.

“The fact is trafficking knows no boundaries”

Joyce Watson AM Chair, Trafficking working group

Local Safeguarding Children Boards (LSCBs) consist of representatives from councils, health boards, social services and the police, who work together to prevent the mistreatment of children.

They were set up as part of the UK government’s 2003 Every Child Matters strategy alongside the formal response to the report into the death of Victoria Climbié.

Joyce Watson AM, who chairs the cross-party working group on trafficking, said the working group’s own report identified nearly 30 children in Wales’ social services system as victims of organised child sexual abuse.

Ms Watson said: “The fact is trafficking knows no boundaries.

“Once people are trafficked in the UK, they are then re-trafficked time and time again and each time that they are trafficked money changes hands, so they really are a commodity to those people that control them.

“It is particularly worrying when you see that has happened in the care sector in Wales, or anywhere else for that matter.”

She said Local Government Minister Carl Sargeant had put money towards a post of “trafficking co-ordinator” to keep across the issue in Wales.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

The best president?

Top US presidents: FDR, Lincoln, Washington, Jefferson, Theodore Roosevelt, Woodrow Wilson, Truman, ReaganTop three: Roosevelt (FDR), Lincoln, Washington. Next five: Thomas Jefferson, Theodore Roosevelt, Woodrow Wilson, Harry Truman, Ronald Reagan

Franklin D Roosevelt has topped the first ever UK academic poll rating the performance of 40 US presidents since George Washington.

Barack Obama was not included in the survey, but interim assessments indicate that he would have made the top 10 of the rankings. George W Bush was in 31st place, putting him in the bottom 10.

Top and Bottom Presidents1. Franklin Delano Roosevelt (1933-45)2. Abraham Lincoln (1861-65)3. George Washington (1789-97)4. Thomas Jefferson (1801-9)5. Theodore Roosevelt (1901-9)

…………………………………………….

36. Andrew Johnson (1865-9)37. John Tyler (1841-5)38. Warren Harding (1921-3)39. Franklin Pierce (1853-7)40. James Buchanan (1857-61)

In 1960, US political scientist Richard Neustadt began his seminal book Presidential Power with the observation: “In the United States we like to ‘rate’ a President. We measure him as ‘weak’ or ‘strong’ and call what we are measuring his ‘leadership’.”

In the half century since then, systematic presidential rating has become a regular exercise for US scholars. Over the same period, study and research of US history and politics expanded dramatically in UK universities. Until now, however, there has been no UK poll of US presidents.

The new survey was conducted before the 2010 mid-term elections by the United States Presidency Centre of the Institute for the Study of the Americas (part of the University of London’s School of Advanced Study).

In total, 47 British academics specialising in American history and politics took part. They were asked to rate the performance of every president from 1789 to 2009 (excluding William Henry Harrison and James Garfield, who both died shortly after taking office) in five categories:

vision/agenda-settingdomestic leadershipforeign policy leadershipmoral authoritypositive historical significance of their legacy

Participants were required to score the presidents in each equally-weighted category from one (“not effective”) to 10 (“very effective”). Results were then were tabulated by averaging all the responses in a given category for each president.

Recent Presidents8. Ronald Reagan (1981-9)18. Jimmy Carter (1977-81)19. Bill Clinton (1993-2001)22. George H W Bush (1989-93)23. Richard Nixon (1969-74)24. Gerald Ford (1974-7)31. George W Bush (2001-9)

Franklin D Roosevelt (1933-1945) came first in three categories: vision/agenda-setting; domestic leadership; and foreign policy leadership. George Washington (1789-1797) came first for moral authority, and Abraham Lincoln (1861-1865) did so for the positive significance of his legacy.

Only one president who has held office since 1960 – Ronald Reagan (1981-1989) – made the overall top 10, in eighth position.

However, George W Bush (2001-2009), in 31st position, was the lowest-rated president of any who has held office since the scandal-hit Warren Harding (1921-1923), 38th.

Other than Harding, the bottom-rated five presidents held office just before and just after the Civil War (1861-1865).

US polls habitually place Lincoln first because of his achievements as Civil War leader in restoring the Union and ending slavery. In addition, they often put Washington second because of his significance in establishing the authority of the presidency.

Lyndon Johnson and John F KennedyThe UK poll puts Lyndon Johnson 11th and JFK 15th out of 40

UK scholars, by contrast, elevated FDR in recognition of the breadth of the challenges he faced as president during the Great Depression and World War II, his confident and inspirational leadership in both of these crises, and the significance of his New Deal legacy.

It is also likely that Roosevelt’s stock rose because the poll was conducted against the background of the worst economic troubles since the 1930s.

Lincoln was a close second overall. His achievement is further highlighted by the presence of very low-rated presidents before and after him (as in US polls).

Clearly, the US was fortunate to have a president with his skill, vision and humanity to fulfil the leadership potential of the office at America’s moment of greatest crisis.

There are also significant differences between US and UK rankings of individual presidents outside the top three.

The most notable case is that of John F Kennedy (1961-63), ranked as high as sixth in some recent US surveys but only 15th in the UK poll. UK academics seemingly faulted JFK for the gap between his rhetoric and his substantive achievements as president.

“The UK survey places some small government advocates higher than in some recent US polls”

Bill Clinton (1993-2001), who held a top 15 slot in one US poll slipped to 19th in the UK survey – mainly because of a very low rating for moral authority but also because his legacy, particularly his economic achievement, looks less robust 10 years on.

One of the criticisms often levelled against US presidential surveys is that the participants are driven by liberal bias to give high ratings to presidents who expanded the role of national government.

At first sight, the UK survey looks to have a similar leaning.

FDR, the architect of the modern state, is ranked first. The early 20th Century Progressive presidents, Theodore Roosevelt (1901-1909) and Woodrow Wilson (1913-1921), are placed fifth and sixth, while FDR’s liberal successors, Harry Truman (1945-53) and Lyndon Johnson (1963-1969), come seventh and 11th respectively (the latter would have been placed much higher in recognition of his civil rights achievement but for the corrosive effect of Vietnam).

However, the UK survey also places some small government advocates higher than in some recent US polls. Thomas Jefferson (1801-1809) was ranked fourth, Ronald Reagan was eighth, and Andrew Jackson (1829-1837) was ninth (compared with their 2009 C-Span survey rankings of 7th, 10th, and 13th).

No less than their US counterparts, the views of UK scholars are influenced by their own times.

The passions of the present may well have affected the low position of George W Bush, and Barack Obama’s high interim score, which would have placed him eighth overall if he had been included in the poll.

“Of the five presidents from 1977 to 2009, only Reagan makes the top 10”

Memories are still raw regarding Bush’s Iraq war policy and his perceived expansion of the “imperial presidency”, but his bottom 10 placing arguably underestimates the strength of his vision/agenda setting and his success in achieving his domestic objectives.

Obama’s score reflects his substantive legislative achievements and his symbolic importance as the first African American president. Nevertheless, it is well to note with regard to his ultimate (rather than interim) rating that no president in the UK survey top 10 failed to win re-election to a second term.

An important similarity between the UK survey and US ones stands out in terms of rating recent and early presidents.

Of the five presidents from 1977 to 2009, only Reagan makes the top 10 and none of the others is in the top 15.

In contrast, of the five presidents who held office from 1789 to 1825, George Washington and Thomas Jefferson were in the top five and the other three made the top 15 – John Adams (1797-1801) in 12th position, James Monroe (1817-1825) 13th, and James Madison (1809-1817) 14th.

It might be concluded, therefore, that the early Tepublic possessed superior political leaders – but the more likely explanation for the discrepancy lies elsewhere.

The massive political, organisational and policy challenges of the modern presidency make it a far more difficult job than in the past. Our expectations as to what recent presidents could achieve may well be unrealistic when set against the many obstacles that inhibit their success.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Barak quits Israel Labour party

Ehud BarakLabour leader Barak served as Israel’s prime minister between 1999 and 2001

Israeli Defence Minister Ehud Barak says he is resigning as head of the Labour party to form his own faction.

Mr Barak is heading a breakaway group – Independence – which includes four other Labour MPs, reports say.

Correspondents say the move strengthens Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition, as it allows Mr Barak’s party to remain in government.

Labour is due to vote on whether to quit the coalition over Mr Netanyahu’s handling of the Mid-East peace process.

But Mr Barak’s surprise move pre-empts that decision, due next month, suggesting he still believes Mr Netanyahu is genuine about seeking peace with the Palestinians, says the BBC’s Jon Donnison in Jerusalem.

The fledgling peace talks broke down late last year over Israel’s refusal to renew a freeze on Jewish settlement building in the occupied West Bank.

“We have presented a request to the Knesset to recognise us as a new faction that will be called Independence,” Mr Barak told a press conference that was carried live on Israeli radio and television.

Analysis

Ehud Barak resigned from Labour amid rising discontent within the left-of-centre party about its role as a partner in the right-wing coalition of PM Benjamin Netanyahu.

His backing for the government’s handling of the recently failed Mid-East peace talks was the main cause of complaint from party members.

With negotiations stalled for over three months, some Labour members urged him to pull out of the coalition. Last week, one of them, Daniel Ben-Simon, quit the party in protest at the decision to stay on.

The resignation does not immediately threaten Mr Netanyahu’s governing coalition – Mr Barak and his four followers are expected to remain part of it and to retain ministerial posts.

However, the move may shift the government’s policies further to the right and Mr Netanyahu’s majority is reduced.

“[The new party] will be centrist, Zionist and democratic,” he said.

There have been tensions within the Labour party – a key member of Israel’s ruling coalition – for months. A party official said four Labour parliamentarians would be joining Mr Barak’s new faction.

Israeli TV and radio stations said that Agriculture Minister Shalom Simchon and deputy defence minister Matan Vilnai were among those who would join the Independence party.

Israeli army radio said Mr Netanyahu was aware of the initiative, and had pledged to allow the defence minister and the other two senior party members to continue in their ministerial posts.

The Labour movement was central to the creation of Israel in 1948 and had long dominated Israeli politics since then.

However, it placed fourth during the 2009 elections, behind the opposition Kadima party, Mr Netanyahu’s Likud and the ultra-nationalist Yisrael Beitenu of Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman.

It is currently a key member of the ruling coalition, with 13 MPs prior to Monday’s split. Mr Netanyahu’s coalition currently has a majority, with 74 seats in the 120-seat Knesset.

Analysts say Labour’s eight remaining members, political doves who are in favour of getting peace talks back on track, are likely to quit the government.

Their departures could leave Mr Netanyahu with 66 seats in the 120-seat parliament, a smaller but more stable majority.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Miranda up for four comedy gongs

Miranda HartHart won the 2009 comedy performance prize at the Royal Television Society awards
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Miranda Hart and Harry Hill are leading the nominations for this year’s British Comedy Awards.

BBC Two sitcom Miranda is up for best new British TV comedy and best sitcom, while Hart is nominated for best comedy actress and the people’s choice award.

Harry Hill’s TV Burp is nominated for best comedy entertainment programme.

Hill is also up for best comedy personality, best male comic and the people’s choice award. The winners will be announced on 22 January.

Anthony McPartlin and Declan Donnelly – Ant and Dec – are also up for the people’s choice prize, six years after they were wrongly awarded it.

In 2005, the comedy duo were given the trophy, voted for by the public, but it should have gone to Catherine Tate.

An investigation into ITV’s use of premium rate phone lines later found that ceremony organisers had promised Robbie Williams he could present a prize to Ant and Dec to guarantee his attendance.

Transmission of the show was suspended while the probe took place.

The pair later returned the award, and legitimately won it the following year.

David Mitchell and Michael McIntyre are also in the running for this year’s prize, and will also take on Hill in the best male comic category.

Jo Brand, Sarah Millican and Shappi Khorsandi are nominated for best female comic.

A children’s comedy show has been nominated for the first time, with CBBC’s Horrible Histories up for best sketch show alongside Harry and Paul and The Armstrong and Miller Show.

This year’s ceremony will be held at the O2 Arena in London and will be hosted by Jonathan Ross.

It will be aired on Channel 4 for the first time after being previously screened on ITV.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Main road is closed in city alert

The Westlink in Belfast has been closed due to a suspicious vehicle.

The M1 motorway is also closed between Stockman’s Lane and Divis Street.

Army bomb experts are at the scene of the alert. Police said the vehicle was discovered at 0440 GMT on Monday.

They are warning of traffic disruption as a result of the road closures.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

PM puts focus on reforms ‘legacy’

David CameronMr Cameron will say he wants public service modernisation to be a “legacy” of his government

Prime Minister David Cameron will set out his determination to modernise Britain’s public services during 2011, in a key speech later.

Mr Cameron will say he wants reform to be a legacy of his government, despite planned spending cuts of £81bn.

He will tell an audience in London that it is a “personal and political” priority for him to improve services.

However, his speech comes as NHS reform plans for England face increasing criticism from medical groups.

Ministers will publish a health bill this week that will pave the way for GP consortiums to take over management of the NHS from primary care trusts.

But the Royal College of GPs and the British Medical Association say the upheaval is unnecessary as the same results could have been achieved by a small change in the current structure.

At the same time, the heads of six health unions, including the BMA, have warned in the Times of their “extreme concerns” about greater commercial competition between the NHS and private companies.

However, in his speech, Mr Cameron will praise news that 140 GP groups have come forward to take on the new commissioning powers ahead of their introduction across England in 2013.

The prime minister will dismiss suggestions that public spending cuts will mean a deterioration in services, but he will say that urgency is a must, arguing Britain can be one of the “great success stories of the new decade”.

“I’ve experienced first-hand how dedicated, how professional, how compassionate our best public servants are.”

David Cameron Prime Minister

Mr Cameron will say that even after the cuts are complete, public spending will still take up 41% of national income – the same level as in 2006.

And he will say that at £5,000 per pupil, spending on education will be the same as in Germany and more than in France; London will have as many police officers as New York; and health spending will match the European average.

“It’s just not true to say that the spending taps are being turned off,” Mr Cameron will argue.

He will also try to shake off claims by Labour that his reform agenda is driven by the wish to save money and an ideological desire to reduce the size of the state.

“My passion about this is both personal and political,” he will say.

“Personal because I’ve experienced first-hand how dedicated, how professional, how compassionate our best public servants are.

“The doctors who cared for my eldest son, the maternity nurses who welcomed my youngest daughter into the world, the teachers who are currently inspiring my children, all of them have touched my life, and the life of my family, in an extraordinary way and I want to do right by them.

“And this is a political passion – and priority – of mine too.”

He will say that the coalition government has a better chance of implementing successful reform because it has “tried really hard to learn the lessons of the past” and will avoid repeating the mistakes of previous administrations.

“These reforms aren’t about theory or ideology – they are about people’s lives. Your lives, the lives of the people you and I care most about – our children, our families and our friends. We should not put this off any longer.”

Meanwhile, changes to parental leave to give both mothers and fathers more flexibility are going to be considered, Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg is to announce later in a separate speech.

Describing the current system as “Edwardian”, Mr Clegg will say the coalition will introduce in April measures drawn up by the Labour government to allow fathers to take up any remaining unpaid maternity leave if mothers go back to work early, up to a maximum of six months.

Additional reforms could be introduced in 2015, he will say.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Bank ‘must keep nerve on rates’

Shoppers in GlasgowSome economists fear that price rises caused by the VAT increase will fuel inflation

The Bank of England should “hold its nerve” and avoid pressure to raise interest rates, an influential economics forecaster has said.

The Ernst & Young ITEM Club says any increase in the bank base rate from the current historic low of 0.5% could endanger the economic recovery.

The bank should stand firm against temporary pressures such as the VAT rise, it says.

Meanwhile, Deloitte is warning of a “bumpy road to recovery”.

In its 2011 UK economic review, it says it expects GDP growth this year and next of just 1.5%.

Meanwhile the more-optimistic ITEM Club forecasts UK GDP growth of 2.3% this year, rising to 2.8% in 2012.

Deloitte believes the UK economy is building up momentum but that “the true test” – the severe fiscal squeeze – is yet to come.

And it warns that fiscal tightening could leave the recovery looking lacklustre over the next couple of years.

Deloitte also says current rates of inflation – with the CPI rate at 3.3% and RPI rate at 4.7% – will add further pressure to household incomes.

The accountancy and consulting firm says despite these high rates, its expects inflation to fall by about 1.5% next year, to about 1.8%.

The ITEM Club is also predicting inflation will drop back to the 2% target in 2012.

It says that as the government’s austerity measures start to take effect, inflationary pressures will be coupled with below-trend GDP growth.

“It’s going to be a tense start to 2011,” says Peter Spencer, chief economic adviser to the Ernst & Young ITEM Club.

“The fiscal retrenchment will keep GDP subdued, while commodity price rises and the VAT hike will push inflation close to 4% and leave the MPC agonising over whether to increase the Bank base rate.

“However it’s vital that the MPC stands firm. These are temporary pressures, domestic cost inflation remains low and CPI inflation will come back to heel in 2012 once the VAT increase falls out of the figures next January.”

Deloitte says that although government cuts are spread over many years, it points to public sector employment already falling, the recent VAT increase, and the national insurance contributions hike in April.

The report says that the only alternative to the government’s current strategy appears to be if the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee conducts more quantitative easing and pumps money into the economy.

Deloitte also points out that pressure is on the private sector to keep the recovery going, but that questions remain over whether it can generate enough jobs to offset the public sector job cuts.

“The onus is therefore firmly on those parts of the economy which are relatively immune from the direct effects of the fiscal squeeze – namely exports and investment – to drive growth instead,” says Deloitte economic adviser Roger Bootle.

“At least exports have been rising strongly. What’s more, the recently announced plans for an extra fiscal stimulus in the US should leave the outlook for global demand a bit brighter.”

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

‘Baby Doc’ Duvalier back in Haiti

Jean-Claude Duvalier in March 1982“Baby Doc” was only 19 when he inherited power from his father.

The former president of Haiti, Jean-Claude Duvalier, has returned to the country, 25 years after he was overthrown by a popular revolt.

Mr Duvalier – also known as “Baby Doc” – arrived on a flight from France, where he has been living in exile.

It is not clear why he has returned to Haiti, where he is accused of massive corruption.

Haiti is in the midst of a political crisis over disputed presidential elections.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Victoria towns brace for flooding

Volunteers clean up flood debris in Brisbane, Australia (16 Jan 2011)Thousands of people are involved in the clean-up operation in Brisbane

Thousands of people have fled their homes in Victoria as major flooding hits the southern Australian state.

The floods have already swamped some of the state’s northern towns and are threatening 1,400 homes in 43 others.

At least 18 people have lost their lives in Australia’s flood disaster so far. Dozens are still missing.

All the deaths were in the northern state of Queensland, where water levels have now largely receded and a major clean-up operation is now underway.

Victoria state officials said the flood is set to be one of the worst ever seen in the state.

Around 3,500 people have left their homes so far.

”The message to Victorians is that we are not out of the woods yet as far as this flood crisis is concerned,” said Trevor White of the State Emergency Service.

“We still have four river systems in major flood, being the Wimmera, the Avoca, the Loddon and the Campaspe rivers.

“And of course we are seeing unprecedented stream rises not witnessed for decades, and in fact that’s leading to widespread flooding over vast areas of Victoria that haven’t been seen for decades,” he said.

The towns of Echuca and Horsham are expected to be the worst hit.

Paula Ryan in Echuca told Reuters news agency the military had been laying sandbags in the town to try protect it from the Campaspe River.

Echuca’s mayor, Nigel Pankhurst, said he believed the town’s levee, designed to withstand once-in-a-century flood levels, would hold.

“Some properties will have water on them but we’re not expecting any homes to be inundated or have water above floor level,” the Associated Press quoted him as saying.

Map

Map of Brisbane floods Suburban garden – before and after

Some towns in northern Victoria have also ready been inundated, including Charlton, in the south-west, where locals said three-quarters of the town was underwater after the Avoca river burst its banks.

“The force of the water was just unbelievable. Every street that the river was running down was just like a torrent,” said resident Gary Tonkin.

“It has uprooted fences and a lot of people’s house fences are washed away. The power came back on half an hour ago. The water is just brown and stinks.”

Charlton resident Peter Gretgrix said the scale of the damage was “heartwrenching”.

“It’s just total devastation, some of the shops in the lowish area are just a mess, windows smashed out, it’s terrible,” he told AFP news agency.

Residents of the southern town of Rochester were attempting to clear their homes of mud and debris as the Wimmera river continued to rise.

“I’ve never seen it this high ever, so this is the worst,” said Noel Mitchell.

“But I think it probably did peak at probably a little bit lower than they thought, so we’re pretty thankful for that.”

The premier of Queensland, Anna Bligh, said 18 people are now known to have died in the state, after the bodies of an elderly man and woman were discovered in Lockyer Valley.

A massive clean-up operation is taking place in the state capital Brisbane and surrounding areas.

At least 30,000 properties in the Queensland city have been swamped and many areas remain without power. Officials say the clean-up could take months.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Golden Globes kick off Oscar race

A sign promoting the Golden Globe awards in Los AngelesSigns promoting the Golden Globe awards can be seen on the streets of Los Angeles
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The Hollywood awards season kicks off later with the Golden Globes, where British film The King’s Speech leads the pack with seven nominations.

The Social Network and The Fighter follow with six nominations apiece.

Presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA), the Globes are first major film awards of the year.

Comedian Ricky Gervais is to host the ceremony, beginning at the Beverly Hilton Hotel at 1700 LA time (0100GMT).

Television shows are also celebrated at the gala, where the prizes are divided between dramas and comedies or musicals.

High school comedy Glee has the most nominations for a TV show, having been shortlisted in five categories.

Colin Firth, who plays a monarch battling a stammer in The King’s Speech, is widely expected to win the best actor in a drama prize.

The 50-year-old is one of four actors in his category nominated for playing real people.

MOST NOMINATED FILMSThe King’s Speech – 7The Fighter – 6The Social Network – 6Black Swan – 4Inception – 4The Kids are All Right – 4

Jesse Eisenberg is also in contention for his role as Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg in The Social Network, as is James Franco for playing climber Aron Ralston in 127 Hours.

Wahlberg completes the quartet for his performance in The Fighter, a film about US boxer Micky Ward.

The biopic has additional acting nominations for Christian Bale, Amy Adams and Melissa Leo, while its director David O Russell is also up for a prize.

In the best actress in a drama category, Natalie Portman has received a nod for her role in Darren Aronofsky’s ballet-based Black Swan.

Halle Berry, Nicole Kidman, Jennifer Lawrence and Michelle Williams are also in contention for that award.

Films up for best musical or comedy include Tim Burton’s Alice in Wonderland, Burlesque, The Kids are All Right and The Tourist.

Johnny Depp has landed two nominations in the best actor in a comedy or musical category, for Alice in Wonderland and The Tourist.

Glee’s competition for the best TV comedy or musical prize includes 30 Rock, The Big Bang Theory amd Modern Family.

Ricky GervaisRicky Gervais returns to host the ceremony for a second consecutive year

Boardwalk Empire, Dexter, The Good Wife and Mad Men vie for the best TV drama series award with zombie thriller The Walking Dead.

The Globes have traditionally been solid indicator as to which films and stars will be recognised at the Academy Awards.

Yet in the last six years, the only winner of a Globe for best drama that went on to Oscar success was 2008’s Slumdog Millionaire.

Last year Avatar was feted at the Globes, only to be beaten at the Oscars by Iraq war drama The Hurt Locker.

However, all four of last year’s Oscar-winning actors – Jeff Bridges, Sandra Bullock, Christoph Waltz and Mo’Nique – were also successful at the Globes.

Gervais’s first stint as host in 2010 saw the British comedian take gentle jabs at the Hollywood glitterati.

Earlier this week, though, the Office and Extras star said he didn’t think he “went far enough”.

“So I’m going to do it again [and] do a proper job,” he continued. “And I guarantee they will not invite me back.”

This year’s Bafta nominations are announced on Tuesday, with Oscar nominations to follow on 25 January.

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