Four-year negative equity warning

Rooftops in Newport, WalesLow-income families could be locked out of the market, the NHF said

Homeowners who bought at the peak of the market peak may face four more years of negative equity, a housing group has said.

The National Housing Federation (NHF) said the average buyer paid £216,800 for a home in 2007.

They may now have to wait until 2014 before prices recover enough to make their homes worth more than they paid.

The organisation, which campaigns for affordable housing, also said prices are still too high for many buyers.

“Proposed caps on housing benefit payments could also put nearly a million people on low incomes at risk of losing their home.”

David Orr National Housing Federation chief executive

According to the NHF, house prices will dip again next year by 3%, before steadily climbing thereafter.

They expect prices to rise some 22% by 2014, bringing the average price of a house to £226,900.

According to NHF chief executive David Orr, prices will “inevitably increase in the long term because of the huge under-supply of housing”.

But even at current depressed prices, he cautioned that houses remain unaffordable for most low-to-middle income families, thanks in part to tighter mortgage lending standards.

“There’s a very real risk that an entire generation will be locked out of the housing market for the foreseeable future,” he said.

He criticised government decisions to scrap regional house-building targets and withdraw funding for affordable housing.

“Proposed caps on housing benefit payments could also put nearly a million people on low incomes at risk of losing their home,” he added.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Seven killed by Bratislava gunman

Bratislava police on scene of shooting, 30 Aug 10Police rushed to the area and residents were warned to stay off the streets

A gunman has opened fire at random in a street in Slovakia’s capital Bratislava, killing six people and injuring 14, local officials say.

Latest reports say four women and two men were killed in the incident, in the Devinska Nova Ves district, on the city’s north-western outskirts.

The Slovak daily SME said the attacker was believed to be a drug-influenced 15-year-old boy who shot at neighbours with an automatic weapon.

The shooter’s fate is not yet clear.

Police rushed to the scene and sealed off the area, but details of the shooting remain sketchy.

A three-year-old child was reportedly among the 14 injured taken to hospital.

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Stricter checks for climate body

Himalayan herdsman on glacierThe IPCC came under fire after using the wrong date for Himalayan glacier melt

The UN’s climate science body needs fundamental reforms to the way it is managed, an international review has concluded.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has faced mounting pressure over errors in its last major assessment of climate science in 2007.

The review commends the IPCC on the way it carried out previous assessments.

But the report recommends changes to the way the body is run and the way science is presented.

The IPCC has admitted it made a mistake in its 2007 climate assessment in asserting that Himalayan glaciers could disappear by 2035.

But officials at the UN organisation said this error did not change the broad picture of man-made climate change.

Rajendra PachauriDr Pachauri has said he welcomes a “vigorous debate” on climate science

The review was overseen by the Inter-Academy Council (IAC), an international umbrella body for science academies.

The IAC committee charged with examining the IPCC’s workings recommended that the UN body appoint an executive director to handle day-to-day operations and speak on behalf of the body.

It also said the current limit of two six-year terms for the chair of the organisation is too long.

The report says that the post of IPCC chair, currently occupied by Dr Rajendra Pachauri, and that of the executive director should be limited to the term of one climate science assessment.

Dr Pachauri became head of the organisation in 2002 and was re-elected for his second term in 2008.

Speaking at news conference in New York, Harold Shapiro, who chaired the IAC committee’s review, said: “Overall, in our judgment, the IPCC’s assessment process has been a success and has served society well.”

But he said fundamental changes would help the IPCC continue success under a “public microscope”. Dr Shapiro also conceded that the controversy over errors in climate science assessments had dented the credibility of the process.

The report also suggests the UN body establish an executive committee which should include individuals from outside the IPCC or even outside the climate science community in order to enhance the UN panel’s credibility and independence.

The review did not address the state of knowledge in climate science, but instead concentrated on review processes at the UN body, including the use of non-peer reviewed sources, and quality control on data.

The review committee said the processes used by the UN panel to review material in its climate assessment reports were thorough. But the IAC said that the IPCC’s response to revelations of errors in its 2007 assessment had been “slow and inadequate”, adding that procedures needed stronger enforcement to minimise the number of errors.

Review’s terms of referenceAnalyse the IPCC process, including links with other UN agenciesReview the use of non-peer reviewed sources, and quality control on dataAssess how procedures handle “the full range of scientific views”Review how the IPCC communicates with the public and the media

The review also called for more consistency in how the IPCC’s different working groups characterised uncertainties in climate science.

The report says that each working group used a different variation of the IPCC’s uncertainty guidelines and the committee found that the guidance was not always followed.

The use by the IPCC of so-called “grey literature” – that which has not been peer-reviewed or published in scientific journals – has been subjected to particular scrutiny of late, partly because this type of material was behind the glacier error.

The committee said that such literature was often relevant and appropriate for inclusion in the IPCC’s assessment reports. But it said authors needed to follow the IPCC’s guidelines more closely and that the guidelines themselves are too vague.

The report’s recommendations are likely to be considered at the IPCC’s next plenary meeting in Busan, South Korea, from 11-14 October.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

US imposing North Korea sanctions

breaking news

US President Barack Obama will sign an executive order on Monday mandating new financial sanctions on North Korea, senior administration officials say.

The sanctions will hit three North Korea state owned entities and one individual, targeting the trade in arms, luxury goods and narcotics.

The new sanctions come after the sinking of a South Korean warship in March, in which 46 sailors died.

North Korea has denied responsibility for the sinking.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Obama in plea for business bill

President Obama speaking in the Rose GardenPresident Obama also alluded to possible new stimulus spending.

US President Barack Obama has attacked Senate Republicans for blocking a bill aimed at helping small businesses.

“Unfortunately [the bill] has been languishing in the Senate for four months, held up by a partisan minority that won’t even let it go to a vote. That makes no sense,” he said.

Mr Obama claimed the bill “pays for itself” and would not add to the deficit.

Half of the Senate faces reelection in November mid-term elections.

Speaking to press in the White House’s Rose Garden, the US president also referred to other ideas for helping the economy, a possible allusion to further stimulus spending measures.

“My economic team is hard at work identifying additional measures that could make a difference in both promoting growth and hiring in the short term and increasing our economy’s competitiveness in the long term,” he said.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Mexico sacks 10% of police force

Federal police in Morelia, Mexico (file image)More officers could face disciplinary action in the wide-ranging crackdown

The federal police force in Mexico has sacked almost 10% of its officers in an effort to combat corruption.

The 3,200 fired officers had either failed to do their job properly or had been linked to corruption or organised crime, said Commissioner Facundo Rosas.

Mr Rosas said more than 1,000 others faced disciplinary proceedings and might also be sacked.

He said none of the officers would be allowed to work in police forces at local, state or federal levels.

More than 4,500 officers have been sacked since May, said Mr Rosas – many had been charged with crimes.

At a news conference, Mr Rosas, said some of officers had been accused by subordinates of having links to drug cartels in Ciudad Juarez, the country’s most violent city.

The commissioner said this was only the first stage of a purge of Mexico’s forces and that more than 1,000 others faced disciplinary proceedings and may also be sacked.

Soon after taking office, President Felipe Calderon launched an all-out war against the drug cartels.

In many parts of the country he has deployed the army against the traffickers despite the opposition of many of his critics.

But Mr Rosas said the federal police force was also taking part in the drugs war.

He said the ongoing purge was part of a strategy to rid the police of corruption and make its 34,500 officers more reliable, as they were an integral part of the country’s security forces.

The war against the drug cartels has left some 25,000 people dead since Mr Calderon came to power in December 2006.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Tomlinson bike challenge complete

Steven and Rebecca Tomlinson

Steven and Rebecca Tomlinson spoke about how the challenge tested their relationship and their future plans

The family of late charity fund-raiser Jane Tomlinson are expected to arrive back in Leeds later after a 2,500-mile cycle ride from Istanbul.

Mrs Tomlinson’s widower Mike has been joined by their daughter Rebecca, son Steven, and other family members and friends during the five-week challenge.

The team has often spent 10 hours a day in the saddle.

They hope to raise £10,000 for the Jane Tomlinson Appeal, which was was started as Mrs Tomlinson fought cancer.

Mrs Tomlinson, of Rothwell, Leeds, raised £1.85m through a series of challenges and the efforts have continued since her death in 2007, with almost £4m being raised to date.

The journey has taken in 12 countries including Turkey, Bulgaria, Romania, Serbia, Croatia, Hungary and Slovakia.

Speaking during a rest stop in Doncaster earlier, Tomlinson said he was “really proud” of the cyclists’ achievement.

Jane TomlinsonMrs Tomlinson lost her battle against cancer in September 2007

He said: “The challenges that we do, they have to be breathtaking and when someone hears about what we are doing they have to go ‘wow’, because that’s what Jane was.

“This was that, not just in terms of the distance and the countries but the speed we had to do it in.

“Jane would have absolutely loved to have done it, it would have been right up her street.”

Mr Tomlinson said Jane set out to raised £5,000 when she started her fund-raising eight years ago.

“I am overwhelmed with the support that we have had from the British public,” he said.

“I think we are getting to the stage where we are actually raising the money that Jane’s effort deserved to achieve.”

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Mortars kill Somalia peacekeepers

breaking news

Four African Union peacekeepers were killed when a mortar hit Somalia’s presidential palace, officials say.

It is not clear if any Somalis were hit by the shells, fired as Islamist insurgents continue to battle government forces.

Those killed were from Uganda, one of just two countries to have sent troops to Somalia to help the government.

Last month, at least 76 people were killed in Uganda in bombings which a Somali group said it had carried out.

The battle for control of Mogadishu has intensified in the past week.

Last Monday, a suicide attack on a hotel killed at 32 people, including six MPs.

The Islamist group al-Shabab said it had carried out the attack, as it had the bombings in the Ugandan capital, Kampala, as people watched the World Cup final.

Al-Shabab, which has links to al-Qaeda, controls much of southern and central Somalia, while the government is confined to a few pockets of the capital.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

UN climate body ‘needs reforms’

Himalayan herdsman on glacierThe IPCC came under fire after using the wrong date for Himalayan glacier melt

The UN’s climate science body needs fundamental reforms to the way it is managed, an international review has concluded.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has faced mounting pressure over errors in its last major assessment of climate science in 2007.

The review commends the IPCC on the way it carried out previous assessments.

But the report recommends changes to the way the body is run and the way science is presented.

The IPCC has admitted it made a mistake in its 2007 climate assessment in asserting that Himalayan glaciers could disappear by 2035.

But officials at the UN organisation said this error did not change the broad picture of man-made climate change.

Rajendra PachauriDr Pachauri has said he welcomes a “vigorous debate” on climate science

The review was overseen by the Inter-Academy Council (IAC), an international umbrella body for science academies.

The IAC committee charged with examining the IPCC’s workings recommended that the UN body appoint an executive director to handle day-to-day operations and speak on behalf of the body.

It also said the current limit of two six-year terms for the chair of the organisation is too long.

The report says that the post of IPCC chair, currently occupied by Dr Rajendra Pachauri, and that of the executive director should be limited to the term of one climate science assessment.

Dr Pachauri became head of the organisation in 2002 and was re-elected for his second term in 2008.

Speaking at news conference in New York, Harold Shapiro, who chaired the IAC committee’s review, said: “Overall, in our judgment, the IPCC’s assessment process has been a success and has served society well.”

But he said fundamental changes would help the IPCC continue success under a “public microscope”. Dr Shapiro also conceded that the controversy over errors in climate science assessments had dented the credibility of the process.

The report also suggests the UN body establish an executive committee which should include individuals from outside the IPCC or even outside the climate science community in order to enhance the UN panel’s credibility and independence.

The review did not address the state of knowledge in climate science, but instead concentrated on review processes at the UN body, including the use of non-peer reviewed sources, and quality control on data.

The review committee said the processes used by the UN panel to review material in its climate assessment reports were thorough. But the IAC said that the IPCC’s response to revelations of errors in its 2007 assessment had been “slow and inadequate”, adding that procedures needed stronger enforcement to minimise the number of errors.

Review’s terms of referenceAnalyse the IPCC process, including links with other UN agenciesReview the use of non-peer reviewed sources, and quality control on dataAssess how procedures handle “the full range of scientific views”Review how the IPCC communicates with the public and the media

The review also called for more consistency in how the IPCC’s different working groups characterised uncertainties in climate science.

The report says that each working group used a different variation of the IPCC’s uncertainty guidelines and the committee found that the guidance was not always followed.

The use by the IPCC of so-called “grey literature” – that which has not been peer-reviewed or published in scientific journals – has been subjected to particular scrutiny of late, partly because this type of material was behind the glacier error.

The committee said that such literature was often relevant and appropriate for inclusion in the IPCC’s assessment reports. But it said authors needed to follow the IPCC’s guidelines more closely and that the guidelines themselves are too vague.

The report’s recommendations are likely to be considered at the IPCC’s next plenary meeting in Busan, South Korea, from 11-14 October.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Missing kayaker search continues

A major search is under way for a woman kayaker who has gone missing off the coast of north Wales.

The 53-year-old, from Shrewsbury, Shropshire, was last seen heading through rocks at Starvation Island, Anglesey, at about 1430 BST on Sunday.

The woman, who is thought to be an experienced kayaker, became separated from the four people she was with in bad weather off Rhoscolyn beach.

The alarm was raised at 1930 BST after her companions became concerned.

Holyhead Coastguard said a 60-mile area had been searched and the search would resume at first light – about 0630 BST.

Three rescue teams, three lifeboats and two helicopters have been involved in the search.

The coastguard said North Wales Police had been in contact with the woman’s family.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

Hurricane Earl gaining strength

Earl (C) pictured on 26 August 2010 in a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) satellite image released on 28 August 2010. Also pictured is Hurricane Danielle which has weakened to a Category 1 storm.Earl has strengthened to a Category 2 hurricane

A storm moving through the eastern Caribbean has strengthened to a category two hurricane, prompting warnings for several islands.

Hurricane Earl is generating sustained winds of 160km/h (100mph).

Forecasters say it could develop into a major hurricane later on Monday, as it approaches the Leeward Islands, which include the British Virgin Islands.

Strong winds and heavy rains are already lashing the islands, east of Puerto Rico in the northern Caribbean.

Hurricane warnings are in effect for Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St Kitts, Nevis, Anguilla, Saint Martin, Saint Barthelemy, St Maarten, Saba, St Eustatius, the British Virgin Islands and the US Virgin Islands.

People in the area are making preparations ahead of the storm, stocking up on food, water and other essential supplies, as well as trying to protect property.

“We really don’t want any loss of life, whether by persons who are careless or by security or emergency persons trying to rescue people,” Carl Herbert, head of the St Kitts and Nevis local emergency management agency, is quoted as saying by the Associated Press news agency.

“We haven’t been hit for quite a few years, but you may never know – this might be the time,” said Ashley Benta, from the Antiguan town of Gray’s Farm.

This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.